Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 80.00 con TP1:79.60... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 80.70 con TP: 81.50...
USD/JPY escaped two-weeks range
2020-07-24 • Actualizada
The pair sharply dropped to the one-month low. Will it keep falling further?
What happened?
The US dollar is trading at its lowest levels since March 9. It seems that all the fundamentals are against the greenback these days. The risk-on sentiment pushed it deep down for three days. Moreover, investors have fears that republicans and democrats won’t be able to agree on the US fiscal stimulus package in a short time. At the same time, US unemployment claims, the CB leading index and existing home sales came worse than analysts expected and weighed more on the US dollar.
Today the market sentiment switched to risk-off. Investors picked up the Japanese yen choosing between two safe-have currencies. Concerns over rising Covid-19 cases in the USA pushed the USD down. While US-China tensions are escalating, Japan remains resilient to the external economic shocks. As long as the USD is weak, the JPY will keep rallying.
Technical tips
USD/JPY has been trading in a range between 107.40 and 106.75 for more than two weeks. Finally, it escaped it. As a rule, it should fall by the same height as the range itself. Thus, we may assume it would soon reach the support at the key psychological mark at 106.00. The move below this level will open doors towards the next support at the low of March 6 at 105.25. On the flip side, if the pair breaks through the resistance at the high of June 24 at 106.57, it may surge higher to the bottom of the horizontal range at 106.75 and then to the intersection of 100- and 200-day moving averages at 107.20.
Similar
Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 78.99 con TP1:77.93, TP2: 77.45 y tras su rompimiento TP3:76.56 y TP4: 75.70. Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 78.00(esperar pullback a esta zona) con TP1: 1679.00 (POC descubierto*), TP2: 79.33 y TP3: 79.66 en intradía.
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 80.00 con TP1:79.34, TP2: 78.94,TP3: 78.55 y 78.00 Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 78.00 (esperar retroceso hacia zona) con TP:79.34 TP2:80.00 y TP3: 81.00
Últimas noticias
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)