Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 39600... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 39750... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 39150
US ISM manufacturing: impact on the USD
2020-11-03 • Actualizada
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
AUD/JPY: The AUD/JPY pair is trading between the Tenkan sen and the Kijun sen levels. A failed attempt to move higher will push prices to violate the Tenkan sen level, pushing the market to retest the previous lows.
European Market View
Today's key event is the US election, where the Democratic party leads according to some polls. Joe Biden, the Democratic presidential candidate, has a 61% chance of winning the presidential election tonight according to the latest update from prediction markets. One of the key states to follow is Florida that is expected to deliver a result early Wednesday morning as it has already started to count mail votes. Trump cannot win without Florida but Biden can still pull it off without it, so a Trump victory in Florida may imply that we won't know the election result for a couple of days.
Despite a strong session for risk, FX moves were very limited in the start of the week. EURUSD grinded a little lower towards the low 1.16s while currently is trading in the mid 1.16 area.
US ISM manufacturing rose to 59.3 in October from 55.4, higher than the consensus expectation of 56.0, signaling that the pace of recovery in the manufacturing sector is accelerating.
Oil rebounded to USD39/bbl yesterday on positive risk sentiment and the news that OPEC could be mulling delaying planned output hikes by three months. Russian producers yesterday met with the Russian oil minister to discuss this option. OPEC is planning to meet on 30 November-1 December.
Similar
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 17910 con TP:18098.07, TP2:18277 y TP3: 18415 Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 17850 con TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
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Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
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